Tucson Snowbirds Late Arrival Predicted

What Do Snowbirds Look Like

There are migrations that happen every year.   Many people gather and celebrate the return of visitors making their part of the world famous; Famous at least in the local sense of the word.

The bird lovers with cameras in hand can hardly wait each  year for the swallows to return to the  San Juan mission.

The site of thousands and thousands of  monarch butterflies hanging in giant stalactites from forest trees is a site  to behold.

It takes the long cold winters of Ohio and people looking for any excuse to celebrate the approach of spring that leads to this pancake festival to celebate the return of a bird that protects it’s nest by pucking on anyone that dare walk under their nesting tree.

Increased traffic on Tucson streets would seem to indicate the annual snowbird migration has begun.   But unlike last year I don’t think the migration is in full swing and won’t be for another  two weeks.

Here is my observation based on 20 years of data.

My folks were snowbirds for over 10 years before they finally sold their home in Ohio, (no they didn’t go to the pancake festival, they lived further south) and moved to Tucson.   During those snowbird years several of dad’s brothers and sisters also made the annual trek to Tucson.   So I have a rather small sampling to draw data from but it extends to their personal snowbird acquaitances during that time as well.

On election years, all their migration patterns changed.   They didn’t come to Tucson until after the election.   Yes I know there are absentee ballots, but to my parents generation they can’t be trusted.   They could get lost in the mail, someone might change their vote or my favorite, someone might open it and see their vote that shouldn’t and then know how they voted.

For my folks there was only one answer, you had to stay and cast your ballot at home, where you had cast it for however many years and know that it was in that machine and no one could change it and your annonimity was assured.

Therefore, every two years, the annual snowbird migration changes from early to mid October to after election day in November.   When in November is determined by the amount of cold weather already back home.   Some years the folks had the car and trailer packed, drove to vote, and left from the voting booth to head south; other years it would be by the end of the week.

The remaining question for this migration is:   Who is waiting for the arrival of the snowbirds?

Quite a few Tucson home sellers (and their agents) in the current real estate market are hoping the arrival of the annual snowbird migration will increase the number of showings and sales of their homes. Time will tell.

  • Not everyone is a bird lover.
  • Not everyone cares about the monarch butterflies.
  • Not everyone is a thawing pancake lover.
  • Not everyone is anticipating the snowbird arrival.
    • if you are a bird or butterfly lover you have your camera ready
    • if you are a thawing pancake lover you have the batter ready
    • if you are a Tucson home seller you have the open house  with clean countertops  and fresh baked goods ready
  • Don’t get impatient, if you hold it open they will come.

    To our Snowbirds, isn’t it nice to know someone besides your fellow snowbirds are anticipating your arrival.

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